Monday, November 23, 2015

Turkey, Stuffing, and... Rain?

Public weather briefing

The beginning of the week will stay around a constant of about 40 degrees during the day with partial cloudiness and breaks of sun. Winds will begin to increase into Tuesday night as a cold front makes it's way towards the Midwest. Rain will begin later on Wednesday night and continue on until Friday morning, possibly becoming snow as it cools down Friday morning. Thanksgiving Day is forecasted to be slightly warmer as the rain comes down, while cooling off over night. Over Thanksgiving Weekend, temperatures will remain around the low 30's, cooling down to the low 20's at night.


Tonight. Partly cloudy with slight winds. Lows in the mid 20's.

Tuesday. Partly cloudy with slight to moderate winds. Highs in the upper 30's.

Tuesday night. Partly cloudy with moderate winds.  Lows in the mid 20's.

Wednesday. Slight chance of rain. Winds around 10mph. High of around 40. Lows in the upper 30's.

Thursday. Rain. Highs in the upper 40's. Low around 30.

Outlook for Friday through Sunday. Slight chance of snow showers on Friday with temperatures in the lower 30's. Saturday and Sunday will be partly cloudy with highs in the lower 30's and lows in the lower 20's. [CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM]

Forecast Discussion

With the thermal trough that has been sitting over Wisconsin for the last week moving to the east, we will start to see some slightly warmer temperatures for a few days. Winds will begin to pickup and come from the southwest as a new thermal trough begins to move over the Great Plains. On Wednesday night, a cold front associated with a cyclone to our north will bring in chances of rain over the Madison area, but due to the Northeast-Eastwards orientation of the front, temperatures will state somewhat warm. Confluence of Northwesterly winds into Southwesterly winds will help to intensify the thermal gradient of the front, aiding in vertical motions and precipitation formation. A thermal trough will move in Friday Morning, dropping temperatures and creating a chance for some small snow showers as the front moves out of the area. For the weekend, the cold temperatures brought on by the thermal trough will keep the area at a steady mid 30's temperature.

Tyler Wright

1 comment:

  1. The high on Tuesday was 46 and the low was 34 so the temperatures predicted were a little off. On Wednesday the high temperature was not well predicted but the rain was well predicted. Again on the Thursday the predicted high was a little off but it rained as predicted. The weekend temperatures were well predicted but it did not snow on Friday. Overall this was a good forecast with the forecasted temperatures just slightly off.


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