Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Fall, where did you go?

Public weather briefing

Another beautiful day in Madison with with a high temperature around 20 degrees above the average. We will see some clouds rolling through tomorrow just ahead of the cold front. This cold front will bring rain on Thursday evening but should be done by Friday morning. After this the skies will clear for abundant sunshine for the weekend with high temperatures in the mid 50's. Hopefully the fall weather will be here to stay.


Tonight. Clear skies fade as more clouds roll through. Lows in the mid 50's.

Thursday. Mostly cloudy with moderate winds. High around 67.

Thursday night. A good chance for rain. Lows in the low 40's.

Friday. Sunny with stronger winds. High 50. Low around 35.

Saturday. Abundant sunshine. High in the low 50's.

Outlook for Monday through Wednesday. Sunny on Monday turning into mostly cloudy skies on Tuesday and a chance for some evening showers on Wednesday. Highs in the mid 50's with lows in the upper 30's on Monday and Tuesday and mid 40's on Wednesday. [CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM]

Forecast Discussion 

A cold front will move through Madison Thursday night that is associated with a low pressure system encompassing the middle of the United States. This front will move east along with the thermal ridge that has been situated Wisconsin the last couple days bring warmer than normal temperatures. In addition, this front has a lot of positive vorticity associated with it meaning upward vertical motion. This is conducive to where the preciptation is located along this cold front. After this low pressure system moves through a high pressure system will settle over the Midwest. This will bring abundant sunshine. Furhtermore, Madison will be in a thermal trough bringing in northwest winds which will cool temperatures down and bring them back to normal

Anna Sienko

1 comment:

  1. For the public weather briefing, it is short and to the point. It describes how the next few days will be in terms that the general public would easily understand.

    In terms of accuracy, you did a great job! The cold front came through with the roar of thunder and just over 0.57 inches of rain over Thursday night. Winds reached around 12.1 mph, which can be considered moderate. Thursday's high was 69, with a low of 57 at night (Only value that was quite a bit off from the forecasted low 40's). As Friday morning arrived, winds began to die down, and switched from southly to northwesterly, a great indicator that a cold front moved through. Temperatures also reached a low of 39 Friday night. In terms of temperature, Friday was dead on. Saturday was as forecasted, with clear skies, light winds, and a high of 48. Onward, days resulted in highs and lows of 53 and 27, respectively. Winds coming from the south indicate a high pressure system over the region, as forecasted at this time.

    In terms of understanding and accuracy, this was a pretty good forecast. (But apparently Anna doesn't like Sundays!)


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