tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-639528225239507032.post8104388747721551536..comments2015-12-15T22:52:22.362-06:00Comments on Badger Weather Blog: Continued Sunny Weather for the Rest of the WeekAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09171525228440148609noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-639528225239507032.post-36897717295611745552014-10-05T21:37:10.385-05:002014-10-05T21:37:10.385-05:00Hi Will and Andrew, Overall, I'm pleased to se...Hi Will and Andrew, Overall, I'm pleased to see that, for the most part, your forecast was in the ballpark of what actually happened. When you discuss the possible dynamical mechanisms that may have allowed for warmer temperatures over the weekend, definitely elaborate more on what may have allowed for that increased solar insolation. For example, did the models forecast more additional cloud cover than what actually occurred? Off of this point, two primary ways that I think you guys can elevate your next forecast is to really tighten up your dynamical descriptions surrounding the features of interest. For example, if you mention an anticyclone, you could talk about subsidence or if you're forecasting fog, what conditions are allowing for that (e.g. calm winds/higher dewpoints)? Secondly, the narrative of your discussions can be a bit more polished. This can be done by trying to stick more to technical language and to make sure the text flows a bit more freely. It is definitely great that you were able to zero in on the important features, though, and I'm looking forward to your second installment in a few weeks!Andrew Wintershttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11986604258205248610noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-639528225239507032.post-20211022703170944792014-09-30T16:56:19.341-05:002014-09-30T16:56:19.341-05:00Andrew, I know this is a week late, but going off ...Andrew, I know this is a week late, but going off your question and hints, I would have to think that the precipitation associated with the trough ran into some dry air, which is why you would look at the actual temp vs. dew point temp. Usually when a line of storms is moving through an area, you can try and make an educated guess or at least a good assumption of the future of that line and how it will hold up simply by looking at the dew points ahead of the storm and whether they are close to the actual or not, hinting at either moist or dry air ahead.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01407579523959109901noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-639528225239507032.post-86969840771121917632014-09-30T16:51:59.614-05:002014-09-30T16:51:59.614-05:00To start off, temperatures, for the most part, wer...To start off, temperatures, for the most part, were higher than we expected as they actually reached high 70's and low 80's into the weekend. We think this may have been due to the amount of extra solar radiation that happened throughout the week that may have lead to the warmer temps. Another thought is that it may be due to higher than expected warm air advection. Our lows for the overnight were very close to the actual as well.<br /><br />Our conditions, especially after the edit on Tuesday, were pretty accurate with a lot of sun in the weekends and the only cloudy day being Wednesday. The fog that occurred over Friday and slightly into the weekend was accurate as well.<br /><br />The only day we were off was our last day on Monday, which went from a beautiful day to a pretty ugly one. Our conditions were accurate for most of the day until the cold front moved through in the late afternoon, which was earlier than the models predicted on Tuesday. Other than that, our forecast was overall pretty good.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01407579523959109901noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-639528225239507032.post-53446063518919009182014-09-24T14:28:12.490-05:002014-09-24T14:28:12.490-05:00Nice thoughts the past couple of days, guys! You m...Nice thoughts the past couple of days, guys! You mention both in this discussion and during your forecast yesterday that the precipitation associated with the trough had some trouble maintaining itself (i.e. it was falling apart). What might be causing this? Think about the environment that the precipitation might be falling into (i.e. the difference in the temperature vs. the dew point)Andrew Wintershttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11986604258205248610noreply@blogger.com